The question is not whether to give priority to fiscal austerity or economic growth but to find the optimal degree of austerity and structural reforms for the maximisation of confidence.
Select articles by Thomas Mayer, Chief Economist of Deutsche Bank Group and Head of Deutsche Bank Research. Before Dr. Mayer joined Deutsche Bank in 2002, he worked for Goldman Sachs in Frankfurt and London (1991-2002), and for Salomon Brothers in London (1990-91). Before moving to the private sector, he held positions at the International Monetary Fund in Washington D.C. (1983-1990) and at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (1978-82). Truman Factor features Mayer's articles in English and in Spanish.
The ECB’s non-standard monetary policy measures were taken to deal with problems in the financial sector and not to extend monetary policy easing beyond interest rate cuts.
Below the surface of the euro area’s public debt and banking crisis lies a balance-of-payments crisis caused by the misalignment of internal real exchange rates. The path of least resistance seems to be an appreciation in creditor countries through the inflation of goods, services and asset prices. But will the electorates in the creditor countries accept a policy of easy money and exchange rate depreciation or push an exit from EMU?
We need to dump the flat-earth theories promising that economic and financial outcomes can be planned with a high degree of certainty and need to look at other theories that accept the limits of our knowledge about the future. A revival of Austrian economics could be a good start for such a research programme.